IMECH-IR  > 力学所知识产出(1956-2008)
Development of A New Approach To Earthquake Prediction: Load/Unload Response Ratio (Lurr) Theory
Yin XC(尹祥础); Wang YC; Peng KY; Bai YL(白以龙); Wang HT; Yin XF; Yin, XC (reprint author), CAS, Inst Mech, LNM, Beijing 100036, Peoples R China.
Source PublicationPURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS
2000
Volume157Issue:11-12Pages:2365-2383
ISSN0033-4553
AbstractThe seismogenic process is nonlinear and irreversible so that the response to loading is different from unloading. This difference reflects the damage of a loaded material. Based on this insight, a new parameter-load/unload response ratio (LURR) was proposed to measure quantitatively the proximity to rock failure and earthquake more than ten years ago. In the present paper, we review the fundamental concept of LURR, the validation of LURR with experimental and numerical simulation, the retrospective examination of LURR with new cases in different tectonic settings (California, USA, and Kanto region, Japan), the statistics of earthquake prediction in terms of LURR theory and the random distribution of LURR under Poisson's model. Finally we discuss LURR as a parameter to judge the closeness degree to SOC state of the system and the measurement of tidal triggering earthquake. The Load/Unload Response Ratio (LURR) theory was first proposed in 1984 (YIN, 1987). Subsequently, a series of advances were made (YIN and YIN, 1991; YIN, 1993; YIN rt al., 1994a,b, 1995; MARUYAMA, 1995). In this paper, the new results after 1995 are summarized (YIN el al., 1996; WANG et al., 1998a, 1999; ZHUANG and YIN, 1999).
KeywordLoad/unload Response Ratio (Lurr) Earthquake Prediction Random Distribution Of Lurr Intermittent Soc Tidal Triggering Earthquake
DOI10.1007/PL00001088
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
WOS IDWOS:000166705300029
WOS KeywordCALIFORNIA ; PARKFIELD ; MODEL
WOS Research AreaGeochemistry & Geophysics
WOS SubjectGeochemistry & Geophysics
Citation statistics
Cited Times:55[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/58490
Collection力学所知识产出(1956-2008)
Corresponding AuthorYin, XC (reprint author), CAS, Inst Mech, LNM, Beijing 100036, Peoples R China.
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Yin XC,Wang YC,Peng KY,et al. Development of A New Approach To Earthquake Prediction: Load/Unload Response Ratio (Lurr) Theory[J]. PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS,2000,157(11-12):2365-2383.
APA 尹祥础.,Wang YC.,Peng KY.,白以龙.,Wang HT.,...&Yin, XC .(2000).Development of A New Approach To Earthquake Prediction: Load/Unload Response Ratio (Lurr) Theory.PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS,157(11-12),2365-2383.
MLA 尹祥础,et al."Development of A New Approach To Earthquake Prediction: Load/Unload Response Ratio (Lurr) Theory".PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS 157.11-12(2000):2365-2383.
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