IMECH-IR  > 环境力学重点实验室(2009-2011)
Prediction of extreme wind speed under the background of climate change
Wang LZ(王黎珍); Li JC(李家春); Wang, L.
Source PublicationProceedings of the 9th (2010) ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, PACOMS-2010
2010
Conference Name9th ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, PACOMS-2010
Conference DateNovember 14, 2010 - November 17, 2010
Conference PlaceBusan, Korea, Republic of
AbstractIn this paper, 64-year tropical cyclone (TC) data in the Northwest Pacific (NWP) were analyzed to predict extreme wind speed under the background of climate change. The extreme value theory is presented in order to obtain extreme wind speed with different return periods in both stationary and non-stationary processes in the NWP. Results show that the non-stationary extreme wind speed of 50-year return periods is 3.2% higher than the stationary one in the NWP. As a result, it is proposed that the non-stationary effects of long-term variation in atmospheric general circulation should be considered in the offshore engineering standard or criterion revision. Copyright © 2010 by The International Society of Offshore and Polar Engineers.
KeywordExtreme Wind Speed Marine Environment Nonstationary Return Periods Tropical Cyclone
DepartmentLMFS水环境流体力学(LEM)
ISBN9781880653791
Indexed ByEI
Language英语
Document Type会议论文
Identifierhttp://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/60353
Collection环境力学重点实验室(2009-2011)
Corresponding AuthorWang, L.
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Wang LZ,Li JC,Wang, L.. Prediction of extreme wind speed under the background of climate change[C],2010.
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