Prediction of extreme wind speed under the background of climate change

IMECH-IR > 环境力学重点实验室(2009-2011)

	Prediction of extreme wind speed under the background of climate change
	Wang LZ(王黎珍); Li JC(李家春); Wang, L.
会议录名称	Proceedings of the 9th (2010) ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, PACOMS-2010
	2010
会议名称	9th ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, PACOMS-2010
会议日期	November 14, 2010 - November 17, 2010
会议地点	Busan, Korea, Republic of
摘要	In this paper, 64-year tropical cyclone (TC) data in the Northwest Pacific (NWP) were analyzed to predict extreme wind speed under the background of climate change. The extreme value theory is presented in order to obtain extreme wind speed with different return periods in both stationary and non-stationary processes in the NWP. Results show that the non-stationary extreme wind speed of 50-year return periods is 3.2% higher than the stationary one in the NWP. As a result, it is proposed that the non-stationary effects of long-term variation in atmospheric general circulation should be considered in the offshore engineering standard or criterion revision. Copyright © 2010 by The International Society of Offshore and Polar Engineers.
关键词	Extreme Wind Speed Marine Environment Nonstationary Return Periods Tropical Cyclone
课题组名称	LMFS水环境流体力学(LEM)
ISBN号	9781880653791
收录类别	EI
语种	英语
文献类型	会议论文
条目标识符	http://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/60353
专题	环境力学重点实验室(2009-2011)
通讯作者	Wang, L.
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang LZ,Li JC,Wang, L.. Prediction of extreme wind speed under the background of climate change[C]Proceedings of the 9th (2010) ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, PACOMS-2010,2010.

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