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Modelling the Dynamic Impacts of High Speed Rail Operation on Regional Public Transport-From the Perspective of Energy Economy
Chou CC1; Shen CW2; Gao DP(高大鹏)3; Gao Y4; Wang K5; Tsai SB1,6
发表期刊ENERGIES
2018-05-01
卷号11期号:5页码:1151
ISSN1996-1073
摘要

While the introduction of a high speed rail (HSR) provides passengers with another more environmentally friendly, convenient, and time-saving transport option, it also disrupts the existing passenger transport market. This study adopts time series analysis to model the dynamic competition in a regional passenger transport market when an HSR is introduced. The analyses include examining the long-run equilibrium and causal relationships, and the short-run causality and dynamic relationships between transport modes. In addition, based on the model we conduct impulse response tests and variance decomposition tests to further interpret the interactions between two transport modes. An empirical study is carried out, and the findings indicate that the HSR has a negative impact on conventional rail and air transport in the long-run. In the short-run dynamics, the air passenger transport volume could be regarded as a good predictor of HSR passenger volume. In turn, the HSR passenger volume could be used to predict conventional rail transport volume. The operations of HSR and conventional rail are complementary in the short term. From the short-run market viewpoint, the HSR and conventional rail meet different kinds of passenger demand. Therefore, a previous increased passenger volume for the HSR implies an overall increasing demand for regional transport. Consequently, the past increased HSR passenger volume could be used to predict the growth of conventional rail transport. Through the impulse response test, we can further track the responses of the three transport modes to the shocks from themselves and each other.

关键词Energy Consumption High Speed Rail Conventional Rail Transport Regional Public Transport Energy Saving Energy Economy
DOI10.3390/en11051151
收录类别SCI ; EI
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000435610300129
关键词[WOS]Photovoltaic Cell Industry ; Air Transport ; Demand ; Future ; Train ; Cointegration ; Service ; Cost
WOS研究方向Energy & Fuels
WOS类目Energy & Fuels
项目资助者China Natural Science Foundation(71602016) ; National Natural Science Foundation of China(71702114) ; Zhongshan City Science and Technology Bureau Project(2017B1015)
论文分区二类
力学所作者排名3
引用统计
被引频次:3[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/77639
专题流固耦合系统力学重点实验室
通讯作者Gao DP(高大鹏); Wang K; Tsai SB
作者单位1.Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sch Business, Zhongshan Inst, Zhongshan 528402, Peoples R China
2.Natl Cent Univ, Dept Business Adm, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mech, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
4.Dalian Univ Technol, Sch Business, Panjin 124221, Peoples R China
5.Capital Univ Econ & Business, Coll Business Adm, Beijing 100070, Peoples R China
6.Civil Aviat Univ China, Res Ctr Environm & Sustainable Dev China Civil Av, Tianjin 300300, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Chou CC,Shen CW,Gao DP,et al. Modelling the Dynamic Impacts of High Speed Rail Operation on Regional Public Transport-From the Perspective of Energy Economy[J]. ENERGIES,2018,11(5):1151.
APA Chou CC,Shen CW,Gao DP,Gao Y,Wang K,&Tsai SB.(2018).Modelling the Dynamic Impacts of High Speed Rail Operation on Regional Public Transport-From the Perspective of Energy Economy.ENERGIES,11(5),1151.
MLA Chou CC,et al."Modelling the Dynamic Impacts of High Speed Rail Operation on Regional Public Transport-From the Perspective of Energy Economy".ENERGIES 11.5(2018):1151.
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