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Comparison Between Lurr And State Vector Analysis Before Strong Earthquakes In Southern California Since 1980 | |
Zhang YX; Wu YJ; Yin XC(尹祥础); Peng KY(彭克银); Zhang LP(张浪平); Yu AQ; Zhang XB; Zhang, YX (reprint author), China Earthquake Networks Ctr, Beijing 100045, Peoples R China. | |
发表期刊 | Pure And Applied Geophysics |
2008 | |
页码 | 737-748 |
ISSN | 0033-4553 |
摘要 | There are seven strong earthquakes with M >= 6.5 that occurred in southern California during the period from 1980 to 2005. In this paper, these earthquakes were studied by the LURR (Load/Unload Response Ratio) method and the State Vector method to detect if there are anomalies before them. The results show that LURR anomalies appeared before 6 earthquakes out of 7 and State Vector anomalies appeared before all 7 earthquakes. For the LURR method, the interval between maximum LURR value and the forthcoming earthquake is 1 to 19 months, and the dominant mean interval is about 10.7 months. For the State Vector method, the interval between the maximum modulus of increment State Vector and the forthcoming earthquake is from 3 to 27 months, but the dominant mean interval between the occurrence time of the maximum State Vector anomaly and the forthcoming earthquake is about 4.7 months. The results also show that the minimum valid space window scale for the LURR and the State Vector is a circle with a radius of 100 km and a square of 3 degrees 3 degrees, respectively. These results imply that the State Vector method is more effective for short-term earthquake prediction than the LURR method, however the LURR method is more effective for location prediction than the State Vector method. |
关键词 | Lurr State Vector Characteristics Of Anomaly Earthquake Prediction Southern California Unload Response Ratio Prediction Tendency |
DOI | 10.1007/s00024-008-0320-1 |
收录类别 | SCI |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000255867100017 |
关键词[WOS] | UNLOAD RESPONSE RATIO ; PREDICTION ; TENDENCY |
WOS研究方向 | Geochemistry & Geophysics |
WOS类目 | Geochemistry & Geophysics |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/26046 |
专题 | 力学所知识产出(1956-2008) |
通讯作者 | Zhang, YX (reprint author), China Earthquake Networks Ctr, Beijing 100045, Peoples R China. |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang YX,Wu YJ,Yin XC,et al. Comparison Between Lurr And State Vector Analysis Before Strong Earthquakes In Southern California Since 1980[J]. Pure And Applied Geophysics,2008:737-748. |
APA | Zhang YX.,Wu YJ.,尹祥础.,彭克银.,张浪平.,...&Zhang, YX .(2008).Comparison Between Lurr And State Vector Analysis Before Strong Earthquakes In Southern California Since 1980.Pure And Applied Geophysics,737-748. |
MLA | Zhang YX,et al."Comparison Between Lurr And State Vector Analysis Before Strong Earthquakes In Southern California Since 1980".Pure And Applied Geophysics (2008):737-748. |
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