Assessment of the potential storm tide inundation hazard under climate change: case studies of Southeast China coast

doi:10.1007/s10409-020-00996-7

IMECH-IR > 流固耦合系统力学重点实验室

	Assessment of the potential storm tide inundation hazard under climate change: case studies of Southeast China coast
	Nie BC(聂冰川); 吴西庆勇 ; Li JC(李家春); Xu F
发表期刊	ACTA MECHANICA SINICA
	2020
ISSN	0567-7718
摘要	Four typical cases of storm tide inundation at one of the typical storm surge prone areas in China and worldwide, i.e. Southeast China coast, are presented to demostrate the impact of climate change. It is relied on the statistical trend analysis of tropical cyclone intensification (TCI) and sea level rise (SLR) considering temporally non-stationary and spatially non-uniform effects, numerical analysis taking into account the tide-surge-wave coupling effect and GIS-based analysis for inundation evaluation. The results show that the high sea surface elevation tends to occur in the bays and around the estuaries. The maximal sea surface elevations of the worst situation at present without considering TCI and SLR (i.e. scenario S2) are 6.06 m, 5.82 m and 5.67 m around Aojiang, Feiyunjiang and Oujiang river estuaries, respectively. Whereas, the maximal sea surface elevations for the three estuaries would increase to 7.02 m, 6.67 m and 6.44 m, respectively, when the non-stationary extreme wind speed of 100-year recurrence period and SLR equivalent to the situation of 2100s (i.e. scenario S4) are taking into account. The potential inundation area of scenario S4 would expand by 108% to about 798 km(2) compared with scenario S2. In addition, the remotely sensed maps and inundation durations of the hardest hit regions are provided, which will aid the prevention and mitigation of storm tide inundation hazard and future coastal management there. Graphic abstract
关键词	Storm surge SEA-LEVEL RISE Inundation TROPICAL CYCLONES Risk assessment SURGE INTERACTION Tropical cyclone intensification MODEL DESCRIPTION Sea level rise HURRICANE WAVES INTENSITY
DOI	10.1007/s10409-020-00996-7
收录类别	SCI ; EI ; CSCD
语种	英语
WOS记录号	WOS:000592549400001
WOS研究方向	Engineering ; Mechanics
WOS类目	Engineering, Mechanical ; Mechanics
项目资助者	National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [11902024} ; National Key R&D Program of China [2017YFC1404202} ; Strategic Priority Research Programs (Category B) of the Chinese Academy of Sciences [XDB22040203}
论文分区	二类
力学所作者排名	1
RpAuthor	Li, JC
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/85419
专题	流固耦合系统力学重点实验室
作者单位	1.{Nie Bingchuan, Xu Feng} Beijing Jiaotong Univ Sch Civil Engn Beijing 100044 Peoples R China 2.{Nie Bingchuan, Xu Feng} Beijings Key Lab Struct Wind Engn & Urban Wind En Beijing 100044 Peoples R China 3.{Wuxi Qingyong, Li Jiachun} Chinese Acad Sci Inst Mech Key Lab Mech Fluid Solid Coupling Syst Beijing 100190 Peoples R China 4.{Wuxi Qingyong, Li Jiachun} Univ Chinese Acad Sci Sch Engn Sci Beijing 100049 Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Nie BC,吴西庆勇,Li JC,et al. Assessment of the potential storm tide inundation hazard under climate change: case studies of Southeast China coast[J]. ACTA MECHANICA SINICA,2020.
APA	聂冰川,吴西庆勇,李家春,&Xu F.(2020).Assessment of the potential storm tide inundation hazard under climate change: case studies of Southeast China coast.ACTA MECHANICA SINICA.
MLA	聂冰川,et al."Assessment of the potential storm tide inundation hazard under climate change: case studies of Southeast China coast".ACTA MECHANICA SINICA (2020).

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