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Storm surge prediction: Present status and future challenges
Li JC(李家春)1,2; Nie BC(聂冰川)3
2017
会议名称IUTAM Symposium on Storm Surge Modelling and Forecasting, 2016
会议日期October 18, 2017 - October 19, 2017
会议地点Shianghai, China
会议录名称IUTAM Symposium on Storm Surge Modelling and Forecasting, 2016
页码3-9
DOI10.1016/j.piutam.2017.09.002
摘要In the current review, the most pessimistic events of the globe in history are addressed when we present severe impacts caused by storm surges. During previous decades, great progresses in storm surge modeling have been made. As a result, people have developed a number of numerical software such as SPLASH, SLOSH etc. and implemented routine operational forecast by virtue of powerful supercomputers with the help of meteorological satellites and sensors as verification tools. However, storm surge as a killer from the sea is still threatening human being and exerting enormous impacts on human society due to economic growth, population increase and fast urbanization. To mitigate the effects of storm surge hazards, integrated research on disaster risk (IRDR) as an ICSU program is put on agenda. The most challenging issues concerned such as abrupt variation in TC's track and intensity, comprehensive study on the consequences of storm surge and the effects of climate change on risk estimation are emphasized. In addition, it is of paramount importance for coastal developing countries to set up forecast and warning system and reduce vulnerability of affected areas. © 2017 The Author(s).
关键词Alarm systems Climate change Developing countries Economics Floods Population statistics Risk analysis Risk assessment Risk perception Storms Supercomputers Verification Extratropical cyclones IRDR SLOSH SPLASH Storm surges Tropical cyclone
收录类别EI
语种英语
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文献类型会议论文
条目标识符http://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/78013
专题流固耦合系统力学重点实验室
作者单位1.Key Laboratory for Mechanics in Fluid Solid Coupling Systems, Institute of Mechanics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; 100190, China;
2.School of Engineering Science, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; 100049, China;
3.School of Civil Engineering, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing; 100044, China
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Li JC,Nie BC. Storm surge prediction: Present status and future challenges[C],2017:3-9.
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